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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 13 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

29%

Waalwijk

3.43

26%

Draw

3.84

45%

Roda

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

0 – 1

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

3.15

1.76

Roda xG

29%
26%
45%
WaalwijkDrawRoda

3.43

29%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.75

Clean Sheet

17%

Waalwijk

5.80

25%

Roda

4.02

Win to Nil

5%

Waalwijk

19.90

11%

Roda

8.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 7.5 6.6 3.9 1.7 0.6
1 6.0 10.5 9.2 5.4 2.4 0.8
2 4.2 7.3 6.4 3.8 1.7 0.6
3 1.9 3.4 3.0 1.7 0.8 0.3
4 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.392
λ Away (xG) 1.758
Total xG 3.150
League avg home goals 1.768
League avg away goals 1.490
Waalwijk attack strength 0.899
Waalwijk defence strength 1.081
Roda attack strength 1.091
Roda defence strength 0.876
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 64