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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Mon 26 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Utrecht Win

33%

Waalwijk

3.03

23%

Draw

4.28

44%

Jong Utrecht

2.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

3.37

1.81

Jong Utrecht xG

33%
23%
44%
WaalwijkDrawJong Utrecht

3.03

33%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

2.29

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.50

34%

BTTS No

2.98

Clean Sheet

16%

Waalwijk

6.14

21%

Jong Utrecht

4.74

Win to Nil

5%

Waalwijk

18.63

9%

Jong Utrecht

10.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 6.2 5.7 3.4 1.6 0.6
1 5.3 9.7 8.8 5.3 2.4 0.9
2 4.2 7.6 6.9 4.1 1.9 0.7
3 2.2 3.9 3.6 2.2 1.0 0.4
4 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.557
λ Away (xG) 1.815
Total xG 3.372
League avg home goals 1.760
League avg away goals 1.568
Waalwijk attack strength 0.843
Waalwijk defence strength 1.130
Jong Utrecht attack strength 1.024
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.049
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 61