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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 13 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

28%

Waalwijk

3.58

22%

Draw

4.56

50%

Jong AZ

1.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

2 – 2

6.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

3.67

2.11

Jong AZ xG

28%
22%
50%
WaalwijkDrawJong AZ

3.58

28%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

1.99

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.43

30%

BTTS No

3.32

Clean Sheet

12%

Waalwijk

8.28

21%

Jong AZ

4.73

Win to Nil

3%

Waalwijk

29.66

11%

Jong AZ

9.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 5.4 5.7 4.0 2.1 0.9
1 4.0 8.4 8.9 6.2 3.3 1.4
2 3.1 6.5 6.9 4.9 2.6 1.1
3 1.6 3.4 3.6 2.5 1.3 0.6
4 0.6 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.554
λ Away (xG) 2.114
Total xG 3.668
League avg home goals 1.620
League avg away goals 1.476
Waalwijk attack strength 0.944
Waalwijk defence strength 1.103
Jong AZ attack strength 1.299
Jong AZ defence strength 1.016
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 68