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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

15:30

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitesse Win

57%

Vitesse

1.76

21%

Draw

4.66

22%

Willem II

4.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

Vitesse xG

Total xG

3.18

1.17

Willem II xG

57%
21%
22%
VitesseDrawWillem II

1.76

57%

Home win

4.66

21%

Draw

4.60

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

31%

Vitesse

3.22

13%

Willem II

7.46

Win to Nil

18%

Vitesse

5.67

3%

Willem II

34.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 4.9 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.4 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 5.6 6.6 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.8 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.009
λ Away (xG) 1.169
Total xG 3.178
League avg home goals 1.740
League avg away goals 1.373
Vitesse attack strength 1.120
Vitesse defence strength 0.972
Willem II attack strength 0.876
Willem II defence strength 1.031
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 7