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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Thu 4 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

30%

Vitesse

3.29

22%

Draw

4.48

47%

De Graafschap

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

2 – 1

7.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Vitesse xG

Total xG

3.47

1.94

De Graafschap xG

30%
22%
47%
VitesseDrawDe Graafschap

3.29

30%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.05

Clean Sheet

14%

Vitesse

6.94

22%

De Graafschap

4.61

Win to Nil

4%

Vitesse

22.81

10%

De Graafschap

9.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 6.1 5.9 3.8 1.8 0.7
1 4.8 9.3 9.0 5.8 2.8 1.1
2 3.6 7.1 6.8 4.4 2.1 0.8
3 1.9 3.6 3.5 2.3 1.1 0.4
4 0.7 1.4 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.528
λ Away (xG) 1.938
Total xG 3.466
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.433
Vitesse attack strength 0.972
Vitesse defence strength 1.111
De Graafschap attack strength 1.217
De Graafschap defence strength 0.920
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 55