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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

711 Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Telstar Win

67%

Telstar

1.49

19%

Draw

5.15

13%

Excelsior

7.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.19

Telstar xG

Total xG

3.05

0.86

Excelsior xG

67%
19%
13%
TelstarDrawExcelsior

1.49

67%

Home win

5.15

19%

Draw

7.54

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

42%

Telstar

2.38

11%

Excelsior

8.93

Win to Nil

28%

Telstar

3.53

1%

Excelsior

67.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 4.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.3 8.9 3.9 1.1 0.2
2 11.3 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 8.2 7.1 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 4.5 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.189
λ Away (xG) 0.865
Total xG 3.054
League avg home goals 1.650
League avg away goals 1.246
Telstar attack strength 1.358
Telstar defence strength 0.714
Excelsior attack strength 0.972
Excelsior defence strength 0.977
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 26