Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Round of 16

Kick-off

Tue 28 Apr 2026

17:45

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

30%

Roda

3.34

23%

Draw

4.35

47%

Waalwijk

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Roda xG

Total xG

3.19

1.80

Waalwijk xG

30%
23%
47%
RodaDrawWaalwijk

3.34

30%

Home win

4.35

23%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.68

Clean Sheet

17%

Roda

6.03

25%

Waalwijk

4.03

Win to Nil

5%

Roda

20.15

12%

Waalwijk

8.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 7.4 6.6 4.0 1.8 0.6
1 5.7 10.3 9.3 5.5 2.5 0.9
2 4.0 7.2 6.5 3.9 1.7 0.6
3 1.9 3.3 3.0 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.394
λ Away (xG) 1.797
Total xG 3.191
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.422
Roda attack strength 0.755
Roda defence strength 1.075
Waalwijk attack strength 1.176
Waalwijk defence strength 1.124
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 38