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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Mon 16 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitesse Win

31%

Roda

3.25

25%

Draw

4.04

44%

Vitesse

2.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

0 – 1

8.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Roda xG

Total xG

3.03

1.67

Vitesse xG

31%
25%
44%
RodaDrawVitesse

3.25

31%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

2.25

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.54

Clean Sheet

19%

Roda

5.31

26%

Vitesse

3.88

Win to Nil

6%

Roda

17.23

11%

Vitesse

8.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 8.1 6.8 3.8 1.6 0.5
1 6.6 11.0 9.2 5.1 2.1 0.7
2 4.5 7.5 6.2 3.5 1.4 0.5
3 2.0 3.4 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.357
λ Away (xG) 1.669
Total xG 3.026
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.471
Roda attack strength 0.851
Roda defence strength 1.093
Vitesse attack strength 1.039
Vitesse defence strength 0.998
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69