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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 6 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

43%

Roda

2.32

22%

Draw

4.64

35%

Jong PSV U21

2.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.4%

Draw

2 – 2

7.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.08

Roda xG

Total xG

3.96

1.88

Jong PSV U21 xG

43%
22%
35%
RodaDrawJong PSV U21

2.32

43%

Home win

4.64

22%

Draw

2.83

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

76%

Over 2.5

1.32

24%

Under 2.5

4.17

56%

Over 3.5

1.79

44%

Under 3.5

2.27

36%

Over 4.5

2.78

64%

Under 4.5

1.56

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

75%

BTTS Yes

1.34

25%

BTTS No

3.94

Clean Sheet

15%

Roda

6.57

12%

Jong PSV U21

8.02

Win to Nil

7%

Roda

15.25

4%

Jong PSV U21

22.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9 3.6 3.4 2.1 1.0 0.4
1 3.9 7.4 7.0 4.4 2.1 0.8
2 4.1 7.7 7.3 4.6 2.2 0.8
3 2.9 5.4 5.1 3.2 1.5 0.6
4 1.5 2.8 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.3
5 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.082
λ Away (xG) 1.883
Total xG 3.965
League avg home goals 1.673
League avg away goals 1.455
Roda attack strength 0.939
Roda defence strength 1.074
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.205
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.325
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67