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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Fri 15 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

44%

Roda

2.27

25%

Draw

4.06

31%

De Graafschap

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Roda xG

Total xG

2.88

1.29

De Graafschap xG

44%
25%
31%
RodaDrawDe Graafschap

2.27

44%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

27%

Roda

3.65

21%

De Graafschap

4.86

Win to Nil

12%

Roda

8.27

6%

De Graafschap

15.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 7.3 4.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 8.9 11.5 7.5 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.1 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.7 4.8 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.582
λ Away (xG) 1.294
Total xG 2.876
League avg home goals 1.856
League avg away goals 1.265
Roda attack strength 0.892
Roda defence strength 0.981
De Graafschap attack strength 1.044
De Graafschap defence strength 0.955
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39