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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

15:45

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

36%

MVV

2.75

23%

Draw

4.27

40%

Willem II

2.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

MVV xG

Total xG

3.20

1.65

Willem II xG

36%
23%
40%
MVVDrawWillem II

2.75

36%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

2.48

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.75

Clean Sheet

19%

MVV

5.19

21%

Willem II

4.73

Win to Nil

7%

MVV

14.29

9%

Willem II

11.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 6.7 5.5 3.0 1.2 0.4
1 6.3 10.4 8.6 4.7 1.9 0.6
2 4.9 8.1 6.7 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 2.5 4.2 3.5 1.9 0.8 0.3
4 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.554
λ Away (xG) 1.647
Total xG 3.201
League avg home goals 1.553
League avg away goals 1.476
MVV attack strength 1.106
MVV defence strength 1.044
Willem II attack strength 1.068
Willem II defence strength 0.905
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 31