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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Mon 2 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

45%

MVV

2.24

23%

Draw

4.37

32%

Almere City FC

3.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.10

MVV xG

Total xG

3.88

1.78

Almere City FC xG

45%
23%
32%
MVVDrawAlmere City FC

2.24

45%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

3.09

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

35%

Over 4.5

2.86

65%

Under 4.5

1.54

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

74%

BTTS Yes

1.35

26%

BTTS No

3.85

Clean Sheet

17%

MVV

5.95

12%

Almere City FC

8.15

Win to Nil

8%

MVV

13.31

4%

Almere City FC

25.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 3.7 3.3 1.9 0.9 0.3
1 4.3 7.7 6.9 4.1 1.8 0.6
2 4.5 8.1 7.2 4.3 1.9 0.7
3 3.2 5.7 5.0 3.0 1.3 0.5
4 1.7 3.0 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.3
5 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.098
λ Away (xG) 1.783
Total xG 3.881
League avg home goals 1.762
League avg away goals 1.553
MVV attack strength 0.957
MVV defence strength 1.038
Almere City FC attack strength 1.107
Almere City FC defence strength 1.244
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 24