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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Mon 16 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Utrecht Win

44%

Jong Utrecht

2.26

23%

Draw

4.42

33%

Willem II

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

1 – 2

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.00

Jong Utrecht xG

Total xG

3.73

1.72

Willem II xG

44%
23%
33%
Jong UtrechtDrawWillem II

2.26

44%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.39

28%

BTTS No

3.54

Clean Sheet

18%

Jong Utrecht

5.60

13%

Willem II

7.42

Win to Nil

8%

Jong Utrecht

12.66

4%

Willem II

22.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 4.1 3.6 2.1 0.9 0.3
1 4.8 8.3 7.2 4.1 1.8 0.6
2 4.8 8.3 7.2 4.1 1.8 0.6
3 3.2 5.6 4.8 2.8 1.2 0.4
4 1.6 2.8 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.004
λ Away (xG) 1.723
Total xG 3.727
League avg home goals 1.729
League avg away goals 1.487
Jong Utrecht attack strength 1.139
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.247
Willem II attack strength 0.929
Willem II defence strength 1.017
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 25