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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 13 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

De Herdgang

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong PSV U21 Win

48%

Jong PSV U21

2.09

25%

Draw

4.05

27%

De Graafschap

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

6.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Jong PSV U21 xG

Total xG

3.36

1.43

De Graafschap xG

48%
25%
27%
Jong PSV U21DrawDe Graafschap

2.09

48%

Home win

4.05

25%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.97

Clean Sheet

24%

Jong PSV U21

4.19

15%

De Graafschap

6.87

Win to Nil

11%

Jong PSV U21

8.75

4%

De Graafschap

25.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 5.0 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 6.7 9.6 6.9 3.3 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 9.2 6.6 3.2 1.1 0.3
3 4.1 5.9 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.0 2.9 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.927
λ Away (xG) 1.433
Total xG 3.360
League avg home goals 1.768
League avg away goals 1.490
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.237
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 0.946
De Graafschap attack strength 1.016
De Graafschap defence strength 0.881
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64