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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 28 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

PSV Campus De Herdgang

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong PSV U21 Win

38%

Jong PSV U21

2.61

24%

Draw

4.14

37%

De Graafschap

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Jong PSV U21 xG

Total xG

3.31

1.65

De Graafschap xG

38%
24%
37%
Jong PSV U21DrawDe Graafschap

2.61

38%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

2.67

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.51

34%

BTTS No

2.95

Clean Sheet

19%

Jong PSV U21

5.19

19%

De Graafschap

5.30

Win to Nil

7%

Jong PSV U21

13.51

7%

De Graafschap

14.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 6.0 4.9 2.7 1.1 0.4
1 6.1 10.0 8.2 4.5 1.9 0.6
2 5.1 8.3 6.9 3.8 1.5 0.5
3 2.8 4.6 3.8 2.1 0.9 0.3
4 1.2 1.9 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.668
λ Away (xG) 1.646
Total xG 3.314
League avg home goals 1.621
League avg away goals 1.308
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.038
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.575
De Graafschap attack strength 0.799
De Graafschap defence strength 0.992
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 65