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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 12 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

De Herdgang

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong PSV U21 Win

55%

Jong PSV U21

1.81

21%

Draw

4.76

24%

Almere City FC

4.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

3 – 1

6.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.20

Jong PSV U21 xG

Total xG

3.61

1.41

Almere City FC xG

55%
21%
24%
Jong PSV U21DrawAlmere City FC

1.81

55%

Home win

4.76

21%

Draw

4.19

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.48

32%

BTTS No

3.08

Clean Sheet

24%

Jong PSV U21

4.09

11%

Almere City FC

9.03

Win to Nil

13%

Jong PSV U21

7.42

3%

Almere City FC

37.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 3.8 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 6.0 8.4 5.9 2.8 1.0 0.3
2 6.6 9.2 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 4.8 6.8 4.8 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 2.6 3.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.6 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.200
λ Away (xG) 1.409
Total xG 3.609
League avg home goals 1.713
League avg away goals 1.444
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 1.087
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.069
Almere City FC attack strength 0.913
Almere City FC defence strength 1.182
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 19