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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Mon 11 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

61%

Jong AZ

1.64

21%

Draw

4.83

18%

Waalwijk

5.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.06

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.11

1.04

Waalwijk xG

61%
21%
18%
Jong AZDrawWaalwijk

1.64

61%

Home win

4.83

21%

Draw

5.43

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

35%

Jong AZ

2.84

13%

Waalwijk

7.89

Win to Nil

21%

Jong AZ

4.66

2%

Waalwijk

42.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 4.7 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.2 9.6 5.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.6 6.8 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.4 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2
5 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.065
λ Away (xG) 1.044
Total xG 3.109
League avg home goals 1.858
League avg away goals 1.221
Jong AZ attack strength 0.966
Jong AZ defence strength 1.005
Waalwijk attack strength 0.850
Waalwijk defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0