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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 24 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

16%

Jong AZ

6.40

18%

Draw

5.49

66%

Roda

1.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

9.0%

Away win

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.44

2.37

Roda xG

16%
18%
66%
Jong AZDrawRoda

6.40

16%

Home win

5.49

18%

Draw

1.51

66%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

9%

Jong AZ

10.65

34%

Roda

2.92

Win to Nil

1%

Jong AZ

68.21

23%

Roda

4.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 7.6 9.0 7.1 4.2 2.0
1 3.4 8.2 9.6 7.6 4.5 2.1
2 1.8 4.4 5.2 4.1 2.4 1.1
3 0.7 1.6 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.4
4 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.070
λ Away (xG) 2.366
Total xG 3.436
League avg home goals 1.641
League avg away goals 1.448
Jong AZ attack strength 0.817
Jong AZ defence strength 1.295
Roda attack strength 1.262
Roda defence strength 0.798
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75