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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Mon 7 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

60%

Jong AZ

1.66

20%

Draw

4.96

19%

Jong PSV U21

5.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

2 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.27

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.51

1.24

Jong PSV U21 xG

60%
20%
19%
Jong AZDrawJong PSV U21

1.66

60%

Home win

4.96

20%

Draw

5.14

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.78

Clean Sheet

29%

Jong AZ

3.45

10%

Jong PSV U21

9.72

Win to Nil

17%

Jong AZ

5.71

2%

Jong PSV U21

49.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 3.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 6.8 8.4 5.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
2 7.7 9.6 5.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 5.8 7.2 4.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 3.3 4.1 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.274
λ Away (xG) 1.238
Total xG 3.512
League avg home goals 1.646
League avg away goals 1.282
Jong AZ attack strength 1.171
Jong AZ defence strength 1.178
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 0.820
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.180
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70