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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Mon 12 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

39%

Jong AZ

2.55

23%

Draw

4.26

37%

Jong Ajax

2.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.24

1.60

Jong Ajax xG

39%
23%
37%
Jong AZDrawJong Ajax

2.55

39%

Home win

4.26

23%

Draw

2.68

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.55

36%

BTTS No

2.81

Clean Sheet

20%

Jong AZ

4.94

19%

Jong Ajax

5.17

Win to Nil

8%

Jong AZ

12.60

7%

Jong Ajax

13.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 6.3 5.0 2.7 1.1 0.3
1 6.4 10.3 8.2 4.4 1.7 0.6
2 5.3 8.4 6.7 3.6 1.4 0.5
3 2.9 4.6 3.7 2.0 0.8 0.3
4 1.2 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.643
λ Away (xG) 1.598
Total xG 3.241
League avg home goals 1.741
League avg away goals 1.529
Jong AZ attack strength 0.779
Jong AZ defence strength 1.199
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.872
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.211
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59