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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Mon 3 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

70%

Jong AZ

1.42

17%

Draw

5.83

12%

FC Eindhoven

8.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.40

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.31

0.91

FC Eindhoven xG

70%
17%
12%
Jong AZDrawFC Eindhoven

1.42

70%

Home win

5.83

17%

Draw

8.08

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

40%

Jong AZ

2.48

9%

FC Eindhoven

11.08

Win to Nil

28%

Jong AZ

3.51

1%

FC Eindhoven

89.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 8.8 7.9 3.6 1.1 0.2
2 10.5 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 8.4 7.7 3.5 1.1 0.2
4 5.1 4.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
5 2.4 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.405
λ Away (xG) 0.907
Total xG 3.312
League avg home goals 1.771
League avg away goals 1.422
Jong AZ attack strength 1.076
Jong AZ defence strength 1.031
FC Eindhoven attack strength 0.618
FC Eindhoven defence strength 1.262
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51