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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Mon 9 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

AFAS Trainingscomplex

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

42%

Jong AZ

2.39

24%

Draw

4.12

34%

Emmen

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

7.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Jong AZ xG

Total xG

3.27

1.54

Emmen xG

42%
24%
34%
Jong AZDrawEmmen

2.39

42%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.88

Clean Sheet

21%

Jong AZ

4.67

18%

Emmen

5.63

Win to Nil

9%

Jong AZ

11.18

6%

Emmen

16.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 5.9 4.5 2.3 0.9 0.3
1 6.6 10.1 7.8 4.0 1.5 0.5
2 5.7 8.7 6.7 3.5 1.3 0.4
3 3.3 5.0 3.9 2.0 0.8 0.2
4 1.4 2.2 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.728
λ Away (xG) 1.542
Total xG 3.270
League avg home goals 1.619
League avg away goals 1.464
Jong AZ attack strength 0.914
Jong AZ defence strength 1.384
Emmen attack strength 0.761
Emmen defence strength 1.168
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 66