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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Mon 18 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

38%

Jong Ajax

2.62

25%

Draw

3.97

37%

Jong AZ

2.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

2 – 1

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

2.82

1.39

Jong AZ xG

38%
25%
37%
Jong AjaxDrawJong AZ

2.62

38%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

2.73

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

25%

Jong Ajax

4.02

24%

Jong AZ

4.17

Win to Nil

9%

Jong Ajax

10.53

9%

Jong AZ

11.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 8.3 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.3
1 8.5 11.9 8.2 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.1 8.5 5.9 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 2.9 4.0 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.427
λ Away (xG) 1.392
Total xG 2.819
League avg home goals 1.641
League avg away goals 1.275
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.877
Jong Ajax defence strength 0.930
Jong AZ attack strength 1.174
Jong AZ defence strength 0.992
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39