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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Mon 16 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex De Toekomst

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cambuur Win

29%

Jong Ajax

3.48

25%

Draw

4.07

47%

Cambuur

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Jong Ajax xG

Total xG

3.19

1.80

Cambuur xG

29%
25%
47%
Jong AjaxDrawCambuur

3.48

29%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

16%

Jong Ajax

6.07

25%

Cambuur

3.98

Win to Nil

5%

Jong Ajax

21.16

12%

Cambuur

8.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 7.5 6.7 4.0 1.8 0.7
1 5.7 10.3 9.3 5.6 2.5 0.9
2 3.9 7.1 6.4 3.9 1.7 0.6
3 1.8 3.3 3.0 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.381
λ Away (xG) 1.804
Total xG 3.185
League avg home goals 1.729
League avg away goals 1.487
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.863
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.025
Cambuur attack strength 1.183
Cambuur defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 61