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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Mon 6 Apr 2026

11:15

Venue

GS Staalwerken Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

30%

Helmond Sport

3.37

24%

Draw

4.20

47%

Waalwijk

2.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

8.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Helmond Sport xG

Total xG

3.00

1.69

Waalwijk xG

30%
24%
47%
Helmond SportDrawWaalwijk

3.37

30%

Home win

4.20

24%

Draw

2.15

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

18%

Helmond Sport

5.43

27%

Waalwijk

3.70

Win to Nil

5%

Helmond Sport

18.30

13%

Waalwijk

7.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 8.4 7.1 4.0 1.7 0.6
1 6.5 11.0 9.3 5.3 2.2 0.8
2 4.3 7.2 6.1 3.4 1.5 0.5
3 1.9 3.1 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.307
λ Away (xG) 1.692
Total xG 2.999
League avg home goals 1.563
League avg away goals 1.523
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.888
Helmond Sport defence strength 0.960
Waalwijk attack strength 1.157
Waalwijk defence strength 0.942
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 34