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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Kras Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Volendam Win

71%

FC Volendam

1.41

17%

Draw

5.83

12%

Jong PSV U21

8.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

3 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.52

FC Volendam xG

Total xG

3.49

0.97

Jong PSV U21 xG

71%
17%
12%
FC VolendamDrawJong PSV U21

1.41

71%

Home win

5.83

17%

Draw

8.26

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

38%

FC Volendam

2.64

8%

Jong PSV U21

12.45

Win to Nil

27%

FC Volendam

3.73

1%

Jong PSV U21

102.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 7.7 7.4 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
2 9.7 9.4 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 8.1 7.9 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 5.1 5.0 2.4 0.8 0.2
5 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.522
λ Away (xG) 0.971
Total xG 3.493
League avg home goals 1.611
League avg away goals 1.302
FC Volendam attack strength 1.411
FC Volendam defence strength 0.841
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 0.887
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.110
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 69