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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Fri 6 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Jan Louwers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

FC Eindhoven Win

57%

FC Eindhoven

1.76

22%

Draw

4.49

21%

Jong Ajax

4.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

2 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

FC Eindhoven xG

Total xG

3.22

1.18

Jong Ajax xG

57%
22%
21%
FC EindhovenDrawJong Ajax

1.76

57%

Home win

4.49

22%

Draw

4.77

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

31%

FC Eindhoven

3.24

13%

Jong Ajax

7.69

Win to Nil

17%

FC Eindhoven

5.71

3%

Jong Ajax

36.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 4.7 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.2 9.6 5.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.8 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.7 6.7 3.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.9 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.040
λ Away (xG) 1.177
Total xG 3.217
League avg home goals 1.673
League avg away goals 1.455
FC Eindhoven attack strength 1.173
FC Eindhoven defence strength 1.080
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.749
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67