Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

M-Scores Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dordrecht Win

44%

Dordrecht

2.26

26%

Draw

3.90

30%

De Graafschap

3.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Dordrecht xG

Total xG

2.67

1.18

De Graafschap xG

44%
26%
30%
DordrechtDrawDe Graafschap

2.26

44%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

3.32

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

31%

Dordrecht

3.26

23%

De Graafschap

4.43

Win to Nil

14%

Dordrecht

7.37

7%

De Graafschap

14.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.2 4.8 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 10.3 12.2 7.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.1 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 3.8 4.5 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.488
λ Away (xG) 1.182
Total xG 2.670
League avg home goals 1.719
League avg away goals 1.331
Dordrecht attack strength 0.986
Dordrecht defence strength 0.833
De Graafschap attack strength 1.067
De Graafschap defence strength 0.878
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 44