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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 26 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

De Vliert

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Den Bosch Win

58%

Den Bosch

1.71

20%

Draw

5.10

22%

Jong AZ

4.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.0%

Draw

3 – 1

7.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.30

Den Bosch xG

Total xG

3.67

1.36

Jong AZ xG

58%
20%
22%
Den BoschDrawJong AZ

1.71

58%

Home win

5.10

20%

Draw

4.56

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

71%

Over 2.5

1.41

29%

Under 2.5

3.45

50%

Over 3.5

2.00

50%

Under 3.5

2.00

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.03

Clean Sheet

26%

Den Bosch

3.91

10%

Jong AZ

9.98

Win to Nil

15%

Den Bosch

6.69

2%

Jong AZ

45.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6 3.5 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 5.9 8.0 5.5 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 6.8 9.2 6.3 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 5.2 7.1 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 3.0 4.1 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.301
λ Away (xG) 1.364
Total xG 3.665
League avg home goals 1.719
League avg away goals 1.331
Den Bosch attack strength 1.283
Den Bosch defence strength 1.073
Jong AZ attack strength 0.955
Jong AZ defence strength 1.044
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 45