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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

15:45

Venue

Stadion De Vliert

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Den Bosch Win

52%

Den Bosch

1.91

26%

Draw

3.86

22%

Jong Ajax

4.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Den Bosch xG

Total xG

2.41

0.88

Jong Ajax xG

52%
26%
22%
Den BoschDrawJong Ajax

1.91

52%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

4.58

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

41%

Den Bosch

2.42

22%

Jong Ajax

4.59

Win to Nil

22%

Den Bosch

4.63

5%

Jong Ajax

21.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 8.0 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 13.7 12.1 5.4 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 10.5 9.2 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 5.3 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.523
λ Away (xG) 0.883
Total xG 2.406
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.274
Den Bosch attack strength 0.857
Den Bosch defence strength 0.920
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.754
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.081
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68