Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 23 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

46%

De Graafschap

2.15

24%

Draw

4.17

30%

Waalwijk

3.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.18

1.39

Waalwijk xG

46%
24%
30%
De GraafschapDrawWaalwijk

2.15

46%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

3.38

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.59

37%

BTTS No

2.70

Clean Sheet

25%

De Graafschap

4.01

17%

Waalwijk

5.97

Win to Nil

12%

De Graafschap

8.64

5%

Waalwijk

20.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 5.8 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.2
1 7.5 10.4 7.2 3.3 1.2 0.3
2 6.7 9.3 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 4.0 5.5 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.8 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.787
λ Away (xG) 1.390
Total xG 3.177
League avg home goals 1.736
League avg away goals 1.540
De Graafschap attack strength 1.086
De Graafschap defence strength 1.028
Waalwijk attack strength 0.878
Waalwijk defence strength 0.948
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 22