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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 12 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

49%

De Graafschap

2.05

25%

Draw

4.04

26%

Roda

3.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

2.91

1.20

Roda xG

49%
25%
26%
De GraafschapDrawRoda

2.05

49%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

3.79

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.36

Clean Sheet

30%

De Graafschap

3.32

18%

Roda

5.53

Win to Nil

15%

De Graafschap

6.79

5%

Roda

20.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 6.5 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 9.3 11.2 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.6 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.5 5.4 3.3 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.710
λ Away (xG) 1.200
Total xG 2.910
League avg home goals 1.713
League avg away goals 1.444
De Graafschap attack strength 1.112
De Graafschap defence strength 0.980
Roda attack strength 0.848
Roda defence strength 0.898
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57