Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

15:45

Venue

Stadion De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

62%

De Graafschap

1.60

20%

Draw

4.91

17%

Roda

5.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.1%

Home win

1 – 1

8.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.20

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.28

1.08

Roda xG

62%
20%
17%
De GraafschapDrawRoda

1.60

62%

Home win

4.91

20%

Draw

5.80

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

34%

De Graafschap

2.95

11%

Roda

9.01

Win to Nil

21%

De Graafschap

4.73

2%

Roda

52.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 4.1 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 8.3 8.9 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 9.8 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.7 7.2 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 3.7 4.0 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.198
λ Away (xG) 1.081
Total xG 3.279
League avg home goals 1.647
League avg away goals 1.290
De Graafschap attack strength 1.246
De Graafschap defence strength 0.802
Roda attack strength 1.045
Roda defence strength 1.071
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70