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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Fri 22 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

70%

De Graafschap

1.42

17%

Draw

5.87

12%

MVV

8.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.43

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.35

0.92

MVV xG

70%
17%
12%
De GraafschapDrawMVV

1.42

70%

Home win

5.87

17%

Draw

8.02

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

40%

De Graafschap

2.52

9%

MVV

11.31

Win to Nil

28%

De Graafschap

3.57

1%

MVV

90.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 8.5 7.9 3.6 1.1 0.3
2 10.3 9.5 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 8.3 7.7 3.6 1.1 0.3
4 5.1 4.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
5 2.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.426
λ Away (xG) 0.924
Total xG 3.350
League avg home goals 1.704
League avg away goals 1.275
De Graafschap attack strength 1.171
De Graafschap defence strength 0.978
MVV attack strength 0.740
MVV defence strength 1.216
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40