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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 20 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

45%

De Graafschap

2.21

22%

Draw

4.45

32%

Jong Utrecht

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.0%

Draw

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.07

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.81

1.74

Jong Utrecht xG

45%
22%
32%
De GraafschapDrawJong Utrecht

2.21

45%

Home win

4.45

22%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

53%

Over 3.5

1.89

47%

Under 3.5

2.13

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.38

27%

BTTS No

3.66

Clean Sheet

18%

De Graafschap

5.69

13%

Jong Utrecht

7.91

Win to Nil

8%

De Graafschap

12.56

4%

Jong Utrecht

24.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2 3.9 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.3
1 4.6 8.0 6.9 4.0 1.7 0.6
2 4.8 8.3 7.2 4.2 1.8 0.6
3 3.3 5.7 5.0 2.9 1.2 0.4
4 1.7 2.9 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.068
λ Away (xG) 1.738
Total xG 3.806
League avg home goals 1.718
League avg away goals 1.483
De Graafschap attack strength 1.122
De Graafschap defence strength 1.088
Jong Utrecht attack strength 1.077
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.072
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 64