Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Mon 6 Apr 2026

15:45

Venue

De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong AZ Win

35%

De Graafschap

2.90

20%

Draw

4.95

45%

Jong AZ

2.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

7.6%

Away win

Most likely

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

1 – 1

6.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

4.11

2.20

Jong AZ xG

35%
20%
45%
De GraafschapDrawJong AZ

2.90

35%

Home win

4.95

20%

Draw

2.21

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

78%

Over 2.5

1.28

22%

Under 2.5

4.55

59%

Over 3.5

1.69

41%

Under 3.5

2.44

39%

Over 4.5

2.56

61%

Under 4.5

1.64

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

76%

BTTS Yes

1.32

24%

BTTS No

4.13

Clean Sheet

11%

De Graafschap

9.01

15%

Jong AZ

6.79

Win to Nil

4%

De Graafschap

26.10

7%

Jong AZ

14.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6 3.6 4.0 2.9 1.6 0.7
1 3.1 6.9 7.6 5.5 3.0 1.3
2 3.0 6.6 7.2 5.3 2.9 1.3
3 1.9 4.2 4.6 3.4 1.9 0.8
4 0.9 2.0 2.2 1.6 0.9 0.4
5 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.915
λ Away (xG) 2.198
Total xG 4.113
League avg home goals 1.559
League avg away goals 1.528
De Graafschap attack strength 1.107
De Graafschap defence strength 1.097
Jong AZ attack strength 1.311
Jong AZ defence strength 1.110
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72