🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
De Graafschap Win
46%
2.16
24%
4.16
30%
3.38
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.7%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.5%
Draw
2 – 2
7.0%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.04
De Graafschap xG
Total xG
3.65
1.61
Jong Ajax xG
De GraafschapDrawJong Ajax
2.16
46%
Home win
4.16
24%
Draw
3.38
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
71%
Over 2.5
1.41
29%
Under 2.5
3.45
50%
Over 3.5
2.00
50%
Under 3.5
2.00
30%
Over 4.5
3.33
70%
Under 4.5
1.43
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
71%
BTTS Yes
1.41
29%
BTTS No
3.45
Clean Sheet
20%
5.03
13%
7.66
Win to Nil
9%
10.84
4%
25.92
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.6 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 5.3 | 8.5 | 6.9 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 8.7 | 7.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 5.9 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.036
λ Away (xG)
1.615
Total xG
3.651
League avg home goals
1.770
League avg away goals
1.534
De Graafschap attack strength
1.007
De Graafschap defence strength
1.161
Jong Ajax attack strength
0.907
Jong Ajax defence strength
1.142
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
63 / 62