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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 21 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

46%

De Graafschap

2.16

25%

Draw

4.08

29%

Helmond Sport

3.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

2.85

1.23

Helmond Sport xG

46%
25%
29%
De GraafschapDrawHelmond Sport

2.16

46%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

3.42

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

29%

De Graafschap

3.43

20%

Helmond Sport

5.03

Win to Nil

13%

De Graafschap

7.43

6%

Helmond Sport

17.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 7.1 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 9.4 11.5 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.3 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.1 5.0 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.615
λ Away (xG) 1.234
Total xG 2.849
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.468
De Graafschap attack strength 1.023
De Graafschap defence strength 1.071
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.785
Helmond Sport defence strength 0.917
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 53