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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
De Graafschap Win
57%
1.74
22%
4.56
21%
4.84
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.2%
Draw
2 – 0
8.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.12
De Graafschap xG
Total xG
3.33
1.22
Excelsior xG
De GraafschapDrawExcelsior
1.74
57%
Home win
4.56
22%
Draw
4.84
21%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
65%
Over 2.5
1.54
35%
Under 2.5
2.86
43%
Over 3.5
2.33
57%
Under 3.5
1.75
24%
Over 4.5
4.17
76%
Under 4.5
1.32
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.60
37%
BTTS No
2.67
Clean Sheet
30%
3.37
12%
8.31
Win to Nil
17%
5.88
2%
40.24
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.6 | 4.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 9.2 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 9.7 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.6 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.118
λ Away (xG)
1.216
Total xG
3.334
League avg home goals
1.627
League avg away goals
1.298
De Graafschap attack strength
1.418
De Graafschap defence strength
0.852
Excelsior attack strength
1.099
Excelsior defence strength
0.918
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
66 / 28