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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 5 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

57%

De Graafschap

1.74

23%

Draw

4.43

20%

Emmen

4.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

2.85

1.00

Emmen xG

57%
23%
20%
De GraafschapDrawEmmen

1.74

57%

Home win

4.43

23%

Draw

4.99

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

37%

De Graafschap

2.71

16%

Emmen

6.38

Win to Nil

21%

De Graafschap

4.72

3%

Emmen

31.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 5.8 2.9 1.0 0.2
1 10.7 10.7 5.3 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.9 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.1 6.1 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.8 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.853
λ Away (xG) 0.997
Total xG 2.850
League avg home goals 1.656
League avg away goals 1.176
De Graafschap attack strength 0.991
De Graafschap defence strength 1.022
Emmen attack strength 0.829
Emmen defence strength 1.129
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 42