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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

15:30

Venue

De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

39%

De Graafschap

2.57

25%

Draw

4.04

36%

Dordrecht

2.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.09

1.51

Dordrecht xG

39%
25%
36%
De GraafschapDrawDordrecht

2.57

39%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

2.75

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

22%

De Graafschap

4.54

21%

Dordrecht

4.83

Win to Nil

9%

De Graafschap

11.67

8%

Dordrecht

13.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 6.9 5.2 2.6 1.0 0.3
1 7.2 10.9 8.2 4.1 1.6 0.5
2 5.6 8.6 6.5 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.0 4.5 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.575
λ Away (xG) 1.514
Total xG 3.089
League avg home goals 1.595
League avg away goals 1.474
De Graafschap attack strength 1.085
De Graafschap defence strength 1.158
Dordrecht attack strength 0.887
Dordrecht defence strength 0.910
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68