Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Quarter-finals

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

19:00

Venue

De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

De Graafschap Win

58%

De Graafschap

1.71

18%

Draw

5.43

23%

Almere City FC

4.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.0%

Home win

2 – 2

6.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.55

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

4.15

1.59

Almere City FC xG

58%
18%
23%
De GraafschapDrawAlmere City FC

1.71

58%

Home win

5.43

18%

Draw

4.32

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

78%

Over 2.5

1.28

22%

Under 2.5

4.55

59%

Over 3.5

1.69

41%

Under 3.5

2.44

40%

Over 4.5

2.50

60%

Under 4.5

1.67

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.36

27%

BTTS No

3.77

Clean Sheet

20%

De Graafschap

4.92

8%

Almere City FC

12.83

Win to Nil

12%

De Graafschap

8.42

2%

Almere City FC

55.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6 2.5 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 4.0 6.4 5.1 2.7 1.1 0.3
2 5.2 8.2 6.5 3.5 1.4 0.4
3 4.4 7.0 5.6 3.0 1.2 0.4
4 2.8 4.5 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.2
5 1.4 2.3 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.552
λ Away (xG) 1.594
Total xG 4.146
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.421
De Graafschap attack strength 1.259
De Graafschap defence strength 0.976
Almere City FC attack strength 1.149
Almere City FC defence strength 1.233
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 38