Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

11:15

Venue

De Vijverberg

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

24%

De Graafschap

4.12

22%

Draw

4.58

54%

ADO Den Haag

1.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

0 – 1

7.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

De Graafschap xG

Total xG

3.23

1.97

ADO Den Haag xG

24%
22%
54%
De GraafschapDrawADO Den Haag

4.12

24%

Home win

4.58

22%

Draw

1.86

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.61

Clean Sheet

14%

De Graafschap

7.16

28%

ADO Den Haag

3.53

Win to Nil

3%

De Graafschap

29.47

15%

ADO Den Haag

6.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 7.8 7.7 5.0 2.5 1.0
1 5.0 9.8 9.7 6.3 3.1 1.2
2 3.1 6.2 6.1 4.0 2.0 0.8
3 1.3 2.6 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.3
4 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.260
λ Away (xG) 1.968
Total xG 3.228
League avg home goals 1.555
League avg away goals 1.476
De Graafschap attack strength 1.130
De Graafschap defence strength 1.127
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.183
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.717
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 70