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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Fri 22 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

59%

Almere City FC

1.70

20%

Draw

4.90

21%

Willem II

4.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

3.36

1.21

Willem II xG

59%
20%
21%
Almere City FCDrawWillem II

1.70

59%

Home win

4.90

20%

Draw

4.79

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.64

Clean Sheet

30%

Almere City FC

3.37

12%

Willem II

8.58

Win to Nil

17%

Almere City FC

5.73

2%

Willem II

41.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 4.2 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 7.4 9.0 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
2 8.0 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.7 7.0 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.1 3.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.149
λ Away (xG) 1.214
Total xG 3.363
League avg home goals 1.704
League avg away goals 1.275
Almere City FC attack strength 0.860
Almere City FC defence strength 1.150
Willem II attack strength 0.828
Willem II defence strength 1.466
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 2