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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Fri 24 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

53%

Almere City FC

1.89

21%

Draw

4.74

26%

Jong AZ

3.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.9%

Draw

2 – 2

6.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.09

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

3.51

1.43

Jong AZ xG

53%
21%
26%
Almere City FCDrawJong AZ

1.89

53%

Home win

4.74

21%

Draw

3.83

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

2.99

Clean Sheet

24%

Almere City FC

4.16

12%

Jong AZ

8.07

Win to Nil

13%

Almere City FC

7.88

3%

Jong AZ

30.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 4.2 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.2 8.9 6.3 3.0 1.1 0.3
2 6.5 9.3 6.6 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 4.5 6.4 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 2.4 3.4 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.088
λ Away (xG) 1.426
Total xG 3.514
League avg home goals 1.803
League avg away goals 1.362
Almere City FC attack strength 1.102
Almere City FC defence strength 1.057
Jong AZ attack strength 0.990
Jong AZ defence strength 1.051
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 12 / 50