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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 13 Feb 2026

19:00

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

70%

Almere City FC

1.44

19%

Draw

5.22

11%

Helmond Sport

8.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.42

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

3.34

0.91

Helmond Sport xG

70%
19%
Almere City FCDrawHelmond Sport

1.44

70%

Home win

5.22

19%

Draw

8.86

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

40%

Almere City FC

2.49

9%

Helmond Sport

11.27

Win to Nil

28%

Almere City FC

3.59

1%

Helmond Sport

99.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 8.6 7.9 3.6 1.1 0.3
2 10.4 9.5 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 8.4 7.7 3.5 1.1 0.2
4 5.1 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
5 2.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.422
λ Away (xG) 0.914
Total xG 3.336
League avg home goals 1.768
League avg away goals 1.490
Almere City FC attack strength 1.165
Almere City FC defence strength 0.976
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.629
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.176
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 64