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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Quarter-finals

Kick-off

Wed 6 May 2026

17:45

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

43%

Almere City FC

2.33

22%

Draw

4.56

35%

De Graafschap

2.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

1 – 2

7.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

3.57

1.69

De Graafschap xG

43%
22%
35%
Almere City FCDrawDe Graafschap

2.33

43%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

2.85

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.23

Clean Sheet

19%

Almere City FC

5.40

15%

De Graafschap

6.55

Win to Nil

8%

Almere City FC

12.56

5%

De Graafschap

18.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 4.8 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.3
1 5.3 9.0 7.6 4.2 1.8 0.6
2 5.0 8.4 7.1 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 3.1 5.3 4.4 2.5 1.1 0.4
4 1.5 2.5 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.880
λ Away (xG) 1.686
Total xG 3.566
League avg home goals 1.644
League avg away goals 1.421
Almere City FC attack strength 1.153
Almere City FC defence strength 1.033
De Graafschap attack strength 1.148
De Graafschap defence strength 0.992
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 76