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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

WerkTalent Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

ADO Den Haag Win

56%

ADO Den Haag

1.80

25%

Draw

4.04

20%

Jong Ajax

5.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

ADO Den Haag xG

Total xG

2.47

0.85

Jong Ajax xG

56%
25%
20%
ADO Den HaagDrawJong Ajax

1.80

56%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

5.08

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

43%

ADO Den Haag

2.34

20%

Jong Ajax

5.05

Win to Nil

24%

ADO Den Haag

4.22

4%

Jong Ajax

25.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 7.2 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 13.7 11.7 5.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.4 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 6.0 5.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.620
λ Away (xG) 0.852
Total xG 2.472
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.508
ADO Den Haag attack strength 1.051
ADO Den Haag defence strength 0.771
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.733
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71