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Low Scoring Predictions

Fixtures ranked by lowest predicted expected total goals — Friday 4 October 2024

Our prediction model identifies fixtures where both teams have historically weak attack or strong defence. Fixtures at the top of this list have the lowest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Under 2.5 goals and low-scoring correct score markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
1 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
✓ Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 2 FT
Juve Stabia
Win 44%
Draw 37%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67% Sampdoria Clean Sheet 53%
#3 Championship · England
Sunderland
2 : 2 FT
Leeds
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#4 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 : 0 FT
Al Kholood
✓ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
1 : 1 FT
Dundalk
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#6 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
1 : 0 FT
Al Shabab
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 1 FT
Famalicao
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#8 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
2 : 1 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
✓ Win 42%
Draw 29%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#9 Premier League · Ukraine
Chornomorets
1 : 0 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Leganes
0 : 0 FT
Valencia
Win 43%
Draw 35%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
0 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#13 Primera División · Chile
Colo Colo
1 : 0 FT
U. Catolica
✓ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Superettan · Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
4 : 1 FT
Skövde AIK
✓ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 14 fixtures by lowest combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.