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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Venezia Win

55%

Venezia

1.83

30%

Draw

3.31

15%

Mantova

6.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.27

0.73

Mantova xG

55%
30%
15%
VeneziaDrawMantova

1.83

55%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

6.58

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

48%

Venezia

2.07

21%

Mantova

4.70

Win to Nil

26%

Venezia

3.79

3%

Mantova

30.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 7.5 2.7 0.7 0.1
1 15.9 11.6 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 12.3 9.0 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 6.3 4.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 2.5 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.547
λ Away (xG) 0.728
Total xG 2.275
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.071
Venezia attack strength 1.317
Venezia defence strength 0.906
Mantova attack strength 0.750
Mantova defence strength 0.883
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 13 / 51